The Second Institutional Exit Has Changed: What Buyers Underwrite Today

The Second Institutional Exit Has Changed: What Buyers Underwrite Today

Paul Edwards • June 11, 2026
Paul Edwards • June 11, 2026

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Paul Edwards

Global Practice Leader

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Executive Summary:

The market for second institutional exits has become more demanding, with buyers placing greater emphasis on future value creation than on historical performance alone. Buyers increasingly seek a credible five-year growth plan supported by clear organic growth drivers, strong operating metrics, clean data, and practical operational initiatives such as AI adoption. Companies that can demonstrate repeatable growth, operational maturity, and a well-defined path for the next phase of ownership are best positioned to achieve premium valuations and attract high-quality buyers.

For sponsors preparing a portfolio company for a second institutional transaction, the exit process has changed. Buyers are no longer underwriting primarily to multiple expansion, loose synergy narratives, or broad “platform potential.” They are looking for a credible five-year plan that shows where growth will come from, how repeatable it is, what operating model is required, and whether the data supports the story. 


For the sponsor and management team, the challenge is no longer simply demonstrating what was accomplished during the first hold period. Rather, the challenge lies in proving that the business is positioned for the next phase of institutional ownership and value creation. 


This matters most for businesses in the $30-$80 million revenue range. These companies are often too large to be evaluated as founder-led stories alone, but not yet mature enough to have the systems, KPIs, functional depth, and operating cadence expected by larger institutional buyers. The transition from first to second institutional capital is therefore not just a sale process. It is a translation exercise: turning a good business into an under-writable institutional asset. 


The audience for this preparation is not just management teams. Private equity sponsors are responsible for translating years of value creation into a compelling next-owner investment case. Success requires alignment between sponsor and management around both what has been accomplished during the hold period and what opportunities remain for the next owner. 



For sponsors, this means the final phase of ownership should be viewed as an active value creation period rather than a sale preparation exercise. The objective is not simply to market historical performance, but to help the next buyer understand how value can continue to compound under new ownership. 

Paul Edwards

Global Practice Leader

The Exit Market Has Become More Demanding

For many lower-middle-market investors, the first institutional hold period was built around professionalizing a founder-led business. That typically meant improving reporting, adding management depth, building a repeatable sales motion, making selective hires, executing add-on M&A, or moving the company from relationship-led growth to something more scalable. 



That playbook is still valid, but it is no longer enough. 


The exit environment has improved from the frozen conditions of 2022 and 2023, but buyers remain cautious. Exit activity showed signs of recovery in 2025, including increases in exit count and value, but the market is still more selective and less forgiving than it was during the low-interest rate period. At the same time, many sponsor-backed middle-market companies remain unsold, with longer hold periods and a continued gap between buyer and seller expectations. 


That means buyers are asking harder questions sooner. They are less likely to pay full value for a generic “growth story” and more likely to demand evidence of specific growth levers. They want to know whether the business can grow without over-reliance on founder relationships, unsustainable sales hiring, customer concentration, opportunistic price increases, or one-time market tailwinds. 


For a company moving from first to second institutional capital, this creates a different preparation requirement. The seller must do more than explain what has gone well. They must illustrate what the next owner can do with the business. 

The Five-year Strategy is Now Part of the Exit Product

Historically, sellers often focused the exit narrative on historical performance: revenue growth, EBITDA expansion, customer wins, margin improvement, and maybe a high-level set of future opportunities. Today, that is insufficient. 


The next buyer needs to walk into the investment committee with a specific view on the next five years. They need to answer how the company can double, where growth comes from, what investment is required, what risks need to be managed, and why the downside case is protected. 


This creates an important shift in responsibility. The current owner cannot leave the five-year strategy entirely to the buyer. The seller does not need to prescribe every decision, but they do need to frame the next chapter clearly enough so that buyers can underwrite it. 


That strategy should be practical, not heroic. In today’s market, “organic growth and value creation” usually carry more weight than a long-range swing-for-the-fences thesis. Buyers are not dismissing margin expansion, but they are more skeptical of stories where most of the return depends on cost cutting, debt paydown, multiple expansion, or speculative M&A. They want to understand the short putts: higher win rates, better sales coverage, improved retention, pricing discipline, channel productivity, product attach, customer expansion, and measurable operating efficiency. 


The strongest exit cases therefore define a credible sequence of value creation: 


  • Year One: Continue what is already working, fix visible gaps, and maintain momentum through transition. 
  • Years Two & Three: Scale the core organic growth levers, including sales productivity, pricing, customer expansion, and product or service mix. 
  • Years Four & Five: Pursue larger adjacency, M&A, international, enterprise, channel, or product-led opportunities once the core engine is more mature. 


That is a much more investable story than a vague claim that the market is large and the company has significant whitespace. 

Organic Growth Must be Explained, Not Asserted

For companies in the $30-$80 million revenue range, organic growth is often the most important diligence topic. Buyers want to know not only whether the company grew, but why it grew: 


  • Was growth driven by new logos, share of wallet, price, volume, retention, market expansion, sales capacity, product attach, or one-time catch-up from underinvestment?  
  • Was growth broad-based or concentrated in a few customers?  
  • Are recent wins representative of the future or the result of a temporary spike in demand?  
  • Is the sales team getting more productive, or is growth simply a function of adding heads? 



The final year of ownership should be used to demonstrate the growth algorithm in a way buyers can trust. That means moving beyond revenue by customer and revenue by product. Management should be ready to show: 

  • Bookings 
  • Churn reasons 
  • Pipeline conversion 
  • Cohort behavior 
  • Win rates 
  • Average contract value 
  • Sales cycle length 
  • Bookings 
  • Churn reasons 
  • Pipeline conversion 
  • Cohort behavior 
  • Win rates 
  • Average contract value 
  • Sales cycle length 
  • Pricing realization 
  • Quota attainment 
  • Customer expansion 
  • Net retention 
  • Customer profitability 
  • Gross retention 

For service businesses, the same principle applies. Buyers want to understand utilization, bill rates, realization, project margin, backlog, repeat revenue, delivery capacity, customer concentration, and the ability to scale without diluting quality. 



For software or tech-enabled businesses, they will want ARR quality, logo retention, net revenue retention, implementation times, support burden, product usage, gross margin by module, and sales and marketing efficiency. 


The point is not to overwhelm buyers with dashboards. It is to show that management understands the drivers of the business and can manage them. 

Key Questions Buyers are Asking

The most successful sellers are prepared to answer five fundamental questions: 


  1. What is the true organic growth engine, and how repeatable is it? 
  2. Which KPIs actually explain performance, retention, pricing power, productivity, and sales efficiency? 
  3. Is the data clean enough for buyers to trust the story? 
  4. How is AI being used to improve the business, not just discussed as a future opportunity? 
  5. What is the five-year value creation case for the next owner, and what proof points exist today? 


The best exits will increasingly come from companies that can show a near-in growth plan, with measurable levers, realistic investment needs, and a clear path for the next buyer to continue compounding value. 

Conclusion

The second institutional exit has become a forward-looking underwriting exercise. Historical performance remains important, but it is no longer sufficient. Companies that can connect past results to a credible future value creation plan will be best positioned to maximize valuation, attract high-quality buyers, and create competitive sale processes. 

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